Prospettive
& attualità.

By Nabil Milali, Portfolio Manager/Strategist Multi-Asset & Overlay, Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management 

•    The Trump-Putin meeting did not result in a ceasefire, but it did initiate key discussions on Ukraine, followed by a meeting in Washington on security guarantees.
•    With job creation slowing and inflation picking up in the US, uncertainty surrounds US monetary policy, and J. Powell's statements in Jackson Hole are eagerly awaited.
•    The European economy is proving resilient with a rising PMI index, despite higher-than-expected UK inflation.

Short duration corporate bonds are, by definition, bonds issued by private companies with a residual maturity under 3 years. As their maturity date is relatively close, they naturally offer excellent visibility on their potential performance. 

Contractual revenue arrangements, ESG criteria and location are all critical for lenders in the data centre space.

•    Donald Trump and the candidates to succeed Jerome Powell are arguing for an urgent rate cut by the Fed in response to the slowdown in activity and inflation.
•    Powell's camp is urging the Fed to keep its current rates, as tariffs are expected to push inflation above 3% by the end of the year. 
•    In France, prime minister François Bayrou unveiled his proposed budget cuts. He hopes to reduce the government deficit to €43.5bn in 2026, but political consensus remains uncertain.

"Veritas" - Science and research, present and future allies of sustainable development

"Fortis est Veritas. “Strong is truth” is Oxford's motto, which you will read on many a pediment as you stroll through this magical place of knowledge and learning. 

“Veritas” is the motto of Harvard University.

•    Washington sent letters to several countries announcing between 20-50% in tariffs and additional levies on products and goods that are re-exported to third countries as a way of sidestepping the increases.
•    France set an ambitious target of 4.6% for the government deficit in 2026. Meanwhile, the UK is struggling with a weak economy but that will allow the Bank of England to cut rates.
•    In China, consumer prices rose slightly but production prices continued to suffer from deflation.

Europe is going through a period of profound change - industrial, energy and geopolitical - which is redefining the conditions for its long-term economic development. Against this backdrop, the question of savings allocation takes on a strategic dimension.

We offer you an in-depth analysis of this central issue:
“Re-engaging European savings: a strategic imperative for sustainable growth”.

This document explores the concrete levers for redirecting private savings towards the real economy, with a view to sovereignty, innovation and sustainable transition.

Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

•    A trade agreement with Vietnam has been reached, while negotiations with the EU, Japan, India, and Korea are proceeding with difficulty.
•    So far the tariff war appears to be leaving little trace on the US economy, as illustrated by mixed labor market indicators. 
•    Both houses of Congress passed the “One Big Beautiful Bill” in an even more expansive version than its initial draft.

Since he was re-elected, Donald Trump has blown hot and cold on capital markets with his multiple announcements. Volatility and poor visibility did not spare high potential investment thematics, including artificial intelligence. An opportunity for Jacques-Aurélien Marcireau, Manager of Edmond de Rothschild Fund Big Data, to highlight the importance of caution and discipline when investing in technology stocks.

The Pan-European office market is transforming, driven by evolving work models, a flight to quality and sustainable ambitions. Stabilizing values present opportunities for investors to achieve above average returns on both the short- and longer-term strategies, especially for mid-size offices on high quality locations in the city centres.

•    The US Secretary of commerce said around 10 trade deals had been signed, and progress is being made in discussions with China.
•    In Europe, the NATO countries, except Spain, agreed to increase defence spending to 5% of GDP.
•    Japan's PMI composite is expanding, contrasting with Europe’s PMI, particularly in France, where the political situation is fragile following the failed pensions working party.